(This article now appears in the current edition of World Affairs, The Journal Of International Issues available here:
I was unable to post the article as it appears in World Affairs, so am posting the text here. It is an expanded version of an article I wrote earlier for New Eastern Outlook.)
On Friday, February 26, just a day before the limited ceasefire in Syria was to take effect, the Atlantic Council, the preeminent NATO think tank, issued a report on the state of readiness of the NATO alliance to fight and win a war with Russia. The focus of the report is on the Baltic states.
The report, entitled “Alliance at Risk” has the sub-heading “Strengthening European Defence in an Age of Turbulence and Competition.” Layers of distortions, half-truths, lies and fantasies of course obscure the fact that it is the NATO countries that have caused the turbulence from the Middle East to Ukraine. NATO is responsible for nothing in this report, except “protecting the peace.” Russia is the supreme aggressor state, intent on undermining the security of Europe, even intent on attacking Europe, an “existential threat” that NATO must prepare to repel.
An interesting image that appears just below the title page is the logo of the Airbus Group, in letters as large as the title and a statement that the publication is a product of the Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, in partnership with Airbus. There you have it, the logo of big business, intertwined with the US military machine; portraying one of the principle characteristics of fascism in the west, the interdependence and shared power of the western corporate and military complex.
The Scowcroft Center is named after American Army general Brent Scowcroft, who, among other things, was national security advisor to Presidents Ford and Bush, lately advisor to President Obama and a long associate of Henry Kissinger. General Scowcroft is interesting for another reason for on September 11, 2001 Scowcroft was on board a US Air Force E-4B aircraft, known as the National Airborne Operations Command Center.
The E-4B is a militarized version of a Boeing 747. Its purpose is to provide the American president, vice president, and Joint Chiefs of Staff with an airborne command center that could be used to execute war plans and coordinate government operations during a national emergency.
The plane was sitting on the tarmac at Andrews Air Force Base, just outside Washington, D.C. waiting to take off for Offutt airbase in Nebraska, the headquarters of the Strategic Air Command when the first plane hit the World Trade Center in New York.
Supposedly the E-4B was to take part in a previously scheduled military exercise called Global Guardian involving a mock nuclear war, but just a few minutes after take-off the Pentagon was hit by some type of airborne craft and the E-4B immediately withdrew from the purported scheduled exercise and became the actual American government command and control center. It then continued to Offutt Air Base in Nebraska where it delivered Scowcroft and his staff to the National Command Center, their original destination, where he was joined, later that day, by President Bush, and his staff.
Scowcroft was then head of the Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board and an adviser to and friend of President Bush. He was not a member of the armed forces, having been retired. He was a civilian. It was Scowcroft who later advised against the USA attacking Iraq alone and who called for the building of a “coalition” to invade instead, to give the US cover, which is what finally transpired. Neither his presence on board the E-4B that day nor why it was prepared to be put into action just prior to the attack on the World Trade Center for an alleged military exercise involving a possible nuclear war, has never been adequately explained.
I digress, but I am sure you cannot blame me, since it is my argument that the NATO alliance will stage a series of actions in the Baltic states using hybrid warfare methods, just as may have happened in New York, or will simply manufacture images that will be used to create a new myth to justify a new war, the myth that Russia is trying to seize the Baltic region.
The report is designed essentially to provide the European governments concerned, that is, Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Norway, as well as its North American flunkey, Canada, with propaganda they can feed to the people through the media channels, most of which they control, to justify increased military spending and increased military forces in order to face a “threat” from Russia.
It states at page 6 that
“The Russian invasion of Crimea, its support for separatists, and its invasion of eastern Ukraine have effectively ripped up the post-Cold War settlement of Europe. President Vladimir Putin has shattered any thoughts of a strategic partnership with NATO; instead, Russia is now a de facto strategic adversary. Even more dangerously, the threat is potentially existential, because Putin has constructed an international dynamic that could put Russia on a collision course with NATO. At the center of this collision would be the significant Russian-speaking populations in the Baltic states, whose interests are used by the Kremlin to justify Russia’s aggressive actions in the region. Under Article 5 of NATO’s Washington Treaty, any military move by Putin on the Baltic states would trigger war, potentially on a nuclear scale, because the Russians integrate nuclear weapons into every aspect of their military thinking.”
This supports warnings that have been made all last year of a move by NATO in the Baltic countries that will be justified by false flag hybrid war operations conducted by NATO, as I have stated several times in other essays. This is emphasized by the recommendation in the report that “to deter any Russian encroachment into the Baltic states, NATO should establish a permanent presence in the region… to prevent a Russian coup de main operation …”
Throughout the report the imagined enemy is Russia. Each segment written by an expert in military analysis from each of the countries concerned in the report contains the standard propaganda about Russia and that Europe is vulnerable and about to fall to the Russian hordes.
The level of intelligence they expect the public to have must be very low if they really think such a fantastic document could be taken seriously as a description of reality or that their intentions could be understood as anything less than criminal. Any intelligent person handed such a document would automatically throw it in the garbage for the trash it is but then he would immediately retrieve it to take a second look, because they are telling us what they are going to do, what they preparing for. I wrote in an earlier essay that the increased build-up of NATO forces in Eastern Europe has striking similarities to the Nazi build-up for the invasion of Russia in 1941, Operation Barbarossa, and is in fact Operation Barbarossa 2.
This report is fully echoed, in all it absurdities, distortions and lies, in the final NATO communiqué issued at the end of the meeting of NATO heads of state in Warsaw on July 9th, which adds support to the expectation of provocative actions by NATO in the Baltic countries that will be blamed on Russia. The NATO communiqué is, in fact, tantamount to a declaration of war. It says at paragraph 15,
“We regret that despite repeated calls by Allies and the international community since 2014 for Russia to change course, the conditions for that relationship do not currently exist. The nature of the Alliance’s relations with Russia and aspirations for partnership will be contingent on a clear, constructive change in Russia’s actions that demonstrates compliance with international law and its international obligations and responsibilities. Until then, we cannot return to “business as usual”.”
The rest of the communiqué boasts about their preparations for a war with Russia.
Of course, when NATO says “actions that demonstrate compliance with international law” they mean in compliance with NATO diktats, and, since the barbaric NATO attack on Yugoslavia, we know what NATO leaders do to those who refuse their diktats. They destroy nations completely, destroy their ability to even exist as nations, then they murder their leaders: Hussein, Milosevic, Gadhafi.
It is probably not a coincidence that Atlantic Alliance report was released just as the Syrian cease-fire was to come into effect. The United States, clearly outwitted, out played and out fought, by the Syrians, Russians, Iranians and their allies in Syria has been forced to accede to a Russian proposed ceasefire for now. But the Americans soon talked about their Plan B, the carving up of Syria into proxy states that can be used to stage attacks against Iraq and Iran and Russia’s southern flank.
As expected, they have done all they can to undermine the ceasefire agreement in Syria, as they have done in Ukraine, engaging in a fight and talk strategy. They are keeping Russia occupied in Syria, in constant tension in the Donbass, are harassing Russia’s allies China and Iran, threatening their eastern flank with the placement of anti-missile systems in North Korea, and their western flank with similar systems in Romania and Poland.
President Putin stated emphatically that these systems cannot be tolerated since they are designed to knock down Russian missiles in any retaliatory strike after a NATO nuclear first strike on Russia and further, can be easily converted into offensive missile systems that can penetrate deep into Russian territory. He rightly concluded that these systems have altered the nuclear balance of power and that Russia will have to react to this existential threat.
A new front has now been opened in the Baltic States. What gambit NATO will use to activate that front in direct confrontation with Russia, who can say, but there will be one – the Baltic Gambit. That the gambit is in play cannot be doubted in light of the placement of battalion size units of American, British, Canadian and other forces in each of the Baltic States in the past few weeks. These forces are small, but their significance lies in the fact that they will serve as advance units to prepare the ground for larger formations and all of them include special forces, will be used to stage provocations in the Baltic, all to be blamed on Russia.
Of course, it goes almost without saying, but I shall say it once again, that this is all illegal under international law, and under the United Nations Charter that prescribes the only acceptable means of settling international disputes. Under the Rome Statute this report and the NATO communiqué out of Warsaw, could be used in evidence, against the people that wrote it and applaud, it in a trial on the charge of conspiracy to commit war crimes. But I doubt the prosecutor of the International Criminal Court will ask for a copy of the report or the NATO communiqué to study in order to draft an indictment. The prosecutor of the Court, an asset of Washington, will do absolutely nothing as all this goes on right in front of her eyes, and involving countries over which she has jurisdiction.
The final disturbing aspect of the document is that it calls for nuclear “modernization” meaning rearmament and increased building of nuclear weapons and delivery systems, a call for more nuclear arms from the same countries which for months have been attacking North Korea for daring to develop the same weapons. You have to give it to them; they’ve got a lot of nerve. Trouble is, as the North Koreans clearly appreciate, they’ve got too much, and it really seems that they are beyond irrational; they have become insane.
So what can Russia do? Well, they called the American bluff in Syria, so why not do it again. This world cannot have peace unless peace is the only way that things can be done. The only way that can happen is to eliminate nuclear weapons so that no nation can threaten the existence of any other. The French section of the report happily reports that the nuclear disarmament groups in France no longer even bother to mention the matter much anymore so little resistance can be expected from that quarter. That applies around the world. Russia cannot disarm alone in the face of the threat to its survival that is the United States and its vassal NATO states but if Russia were to throw down the glove and call for mutual disarmament, a rejection by the Americans would at least underline the importance to mankind of nuclear disarmament and would make clear to the world who is the aggressor state.
But such a gesture would be only a gesture and the Russians know, as we all know, that the NATO leadership recognises and respects nothing except brute force; and so the NATO armies will continue their march east in preparation for the Balkan Gambit and all the catastrophic consequences that will follow.